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TJ Dillashaw Breakdown:
Together with the weigh-ins complete, TJ appears sharp and has shown himself well prepared for the 125lb branch. On the toes he ought to have a significant edge over Cejudo. The length of TJ, combined with his unorthodox style, will let him land serious volume against the limited wrestler. Furthermore leg kicks are a deadly option against the front hefty karate stance. Cejudo will probably be needing takedowns and significant top control if he’s to win any rounds. Unfortunately for him, TJ has exceptional wrestling himself as well as an arguably more harmful grappling arsenal. His evasiveness should restrict Cejudo’s opportunities to take and on the floor he will be hard to control for long periods. Overall the road to success looks slender for Cejudo whilst TJ is an established finisher who conveys good aerobic and far superior volume to acquire over 5 rounds. The wager will be TJ Dillashaw to become the double champ!Rachael Ostovich Breakdown:
Both these fighters have some flaws to their match but stylistically this is a winnable fight for the underdog. On the feet Vanzant is more pliable but probably quicker with more volume. Ostovich has a simpler style but neither fighter is very likely to land considerable damage here. The strength and size for Ostovich will probably be a major advantage on the earth where the two girls tend to attract the battle. Vanzant is stubborn but takes insecure choices and leaves a lot of openings for opponents. Ostovich can capitalise her superior control means she’ll spend much more time on shirt or in dominant positions. Anticipate a back and forth struggle where we get excellent value about the underdog odds.
Bet = Ostovich at 2.35 (+135) odds. Risk 3 Units to win 4.05 Units.
Ariane Lipski Breakdown:
Lipski that the”Violence Queen” is making her debut following an impressive run as the KSW winner. Matching up using Calderwood she has the advantage in most areas. The aggression and power of Lipski’s combos in the pocket will probably be overpowering for Calderwood who lacks pace and head movement. This fight is probably to play out on the feet but on the mat it’s Lipski with the far better abilities. Calderwood is coming from a”lucky” entry win in a fight where she had been having a great deal of trouble. Over her career she has been know to battle with adversity during conflicts and search for a way out. Lipski though appears to be very durable and fights with heart. In 24 years old she also will be revealing substantial improvements between conflicts.
Bet = Lipski at 1.53 (-188) odds. Risk 5 Components to acquire 2.65 Units.
Alexander Hernandez Breakdown:
Cerrone is coming back down to 155lbs to get an unlikely matchup against an increasing prospect. Hernandez brings a design that’s proven against Cowboy together with his fast start and constant pressure. Whether this battle goes the distance it will be Hernandez pushing the speed, holding Cerrone from the fence and securing takedowns to impress the judges. Cowboys best path to victory is snatching a submission off his back but that’s a small probability against a strong wrestler. The power, athleticism, youth and style of Hernandez will be a lot for the veteran to manage with only 3 rounds to operate with. Cerrone is generally a slow starter as well as the drop back to 155lb is unlikely to help his durability issues.
Bet = Hernandez in 1.54 (-185) chances. Risk 4 Units to win 2.16 Units.
Dustin Ortiz Breakdown:
That is a rematch fight from the first back in 2014, which Benavidez won via conclusion. Today it is Ortiz that has shown the newest improvements in his sport, currently riding an impressive win series. Benavidez remains a leading contender but does seem like he is marginally diminishing in his current appearances. As an underdog Ortiz includes a couple of avenues to success. He’ll be at a disadvantage on the feet in terms of volume, but packs substantial power. Benavidez was wobbled consistently in recent fights indicating his durability is evaporating. Additionally the 34 year old will slow down later in the struggle as Ortiz brings a constant grinding speed. This ought to be a close fight that seems to be lined overly broad.
Bet = Ortiz at 3.05 (+205) chances. Risk 2 Units to win 4.1 Units.
Karl Roberson Breakdown:
Roberson is going up as a late replacement to undertake the difficult veteran Glover. On the feet the disparity is wide. Roberson is lightning fast and has strong counters. Glover has slowed substantially into his later years and with his durability fading his lack of head movement is apparent. Cory Anderson (Roberson’s training partner) is not known for his striking yet discovered huge success himself on the feet in his last fight against Glover. The clear issue for Roberson is that his grappling defence, but working with Anderson he must be advancing here as a young prospect. Glover may get some takedowns however if he does not get an early submission it will be tough to keep up with the younger, quicker and more athletic Roberson. Additionally if he can not get it into the mat his choices look bleak. As an underdog, Roberson seems a good bet.
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