Even the Chicago Cubs’ chances to win National League Central would be the shortest they’ve been all year. The St. Louis Cardinals are just two games back while the Milwaukee Brewers trail by 2.5. Is there value with either of the two trailers or will be the Cubs that the best bet to win this division?
*Odds of 12/08/2019.
While the Cubs can’t appear to pull in the Central, they’ve appeared to be the most consistent team this season. More importantly, they have picked up their game during the previous month since they are 19-12 in their last 31 games.
Even the Cubs rank fifth in team ERA and are seventh in OPS, therefore they are a balanced team. A significant issue for them has been the late innings and saves as they have blown 21 saves — the third-most in the majors. But, remember that they signed Craig Kimbrel and he has been fairly reliable for them, though he is hurt right now.
It feels just like the Cardinals just can’t really get there this year. They’ve largely been around a .500 group this season hovering over that mark. They came from the gates in the second half of this year with wins in 12 of the first 14 games. They then took two of three from the Chicago Cubs.
However, the Cards immediately gave up it, losing five in a row. It feels like this team is a couple of bricks short of a load. They didn’t help the roster in the trade deadline and this is precisely that they are. Their crime ranks 25th in runs 24th and scored at OPS. It’s just not good enough — even in a weak division.
Of the 3 contenders in this race, the Cards are the worst record against winning teams as they’re only 30-35 (13th at the Majors) whereas the Brewers are 36-29 (fourth) while the Cubs are 33-31 (seventh). That’s not a fantastic sign for St. Louis.
It is hard for me to put on board with the Brewers as they have mostly mirrored the Cardinals this year: been close to .500 but hovered around a mark marginally above it. They had been 47-44 at the All-Star break and then began the next half 9-6, but are 6-7 since.
Pitching is a battle with this group as they’ve ignored six saves because the All-Star Game. On the year, their pitching staff has a WHIP of 1.38, which is 17th.
On crime, the Brewers have the best player in this division in Christian Yelich. He’s batting .335 and has 39 home runs but even with those extraordinary amounts, the Brewers are only 17th in team batting average 24th in home runs because the All-Star break. I really don’t think they have the equilibrium to bring this house.
The Brewers and Cardinals needed to help themselves at the trade deadline and also they did not. The Cubs made moves before the deadline and also the purchase of Nick Castellanos in it with the signing of Kimbrel. They also picked up Tony Kemp and Derek Holland.
Bear in mind that the Cubs have dealt with a ton of injuries too but if acquire healthier. Together with Kimbrel returning soon and Pedro Strop rear, this is the team. They are the best choice.
Let us have fun and keep it civil.
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