The Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series is at Martinsville Speedway this weekend, and with Kyle Busch winning at Phoenix and Fontana within the previous two weeks, he’s been set up as a heavy favorite for today’s STP 500 in”The Paperclip”–and for good reason: Rowdy has not finished outside of the top 5 at this track because the 2014 season, and he has led a combined 582 laps within the previous four (and 937 within the previous six). Of course, whenever you have the favorite at +150 to win, that means there is some great significance in betting others in case that guy has issues throughout the race.
Last weekend in Car Club Speedway my favorite bets went 2-0, bringing my yearly record to 5-3. I’d Brad Keselowski to finish top 3, along with his day went south early, so that was screwed from the start.
My Bets for Martinsville
Martin Truex, Jr.. Sirius XM Paint Scheme Martinsville 2019
Photo Credit: Jared C. Tilton/Getty Pictures
Martin Truex, Jr.. Top 3 End (+200) — The races at Martinsville are generally predictable: we see the exact same faces up front again and again, and we do not see Martin Truex, Jr. in victory lane. Where we do see him, though, is close enough to win in case something goes wrong with the leader. Over the previous three races in”The Paperclip,” Truex has posted finishes of 3rd, 4th, and 2nd, although he begins back in 8th for the STP 500, he’s got one hell of a race car underneath him to get to the front. The 19 Toyota ranked #1 at 10-, 15-, 20-, and 30-lap average during the last practice session here on Saturday, and there is going to be lots of runs during the race. Truex will shine during these. When you study this week’s ranks by the Fantasy Racing On line algorithm, Truex is a really close 4th behind Logano, and if you look at recent trends by pole sitters in the spring Martinsville race, then I’d give that advantage to Truex.
Chris Buescher (+105) over Daniel Hemric — I am honestly surprised Chris Buescher is not getting more adore this weekend. This #37 team hasn’t finished worse than 18th since the Daytona 500, plus they have got a good starting place for the current STP 500 (12th). Meanwhile, the Hemric will start from back in 28th, and has a tendency to hit the wall more often than not. We’ve got 500 laps to race in today’s STP 500, and to be honest, I am not sure he finishes. On the other hand, Buescher has completed 13th, 23rd, 21st, and 11th in his past four Martinsville starts, and he is running better than he’s likely ever conducted. This one is a no brainer for me.
Martinsville Race Day Betting Odds for your STP 500
Kyle Busch 2.25/1 )
Martin Truex, Jr. 4.5/1
Brad Keselowski 5/1
Joey Logano 5/1
Denny Hamlin 8/1
Clint Bowyer 12/1
Kevin Harvick 12/1
Ryan Blaney 15/1
Aric Almirola 15/1
Chase Elliott 25/1
Kurt Busch 30/1
Jimmie Johnson 40/1
Kyle Larson 50/1
Erik Jones 60/1
Austin Dillon 80/1
Alex Bowman 80/1
Daniel Surez 80/1
Ryan Newman 80/1
Field 32/1
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